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The implications of the 2008-based household projections for estimates of housing need

Alan Holmans’ new article was published in the September 2012 issue of the TCPA journal.

The 2008-based household projections show an increased number of households because of the rise in population caused by continuing high inward migration. In terms of housing need, the new projections imply a 10% increase in the proportion needing social housing or private renting with the aid of housing benefit. This largely results from increasing numbers of lone parents, because a far higher proportion of lone parents are in the social rented sector compared to other household types. 

The analysis also divides the estimates of housing demand and need between the regions. This shows a continuing shift towards the south. 

The 2008-based household projections used a new methodology in order to address the gap in understanding households with children. However, one drawback of the new methodology is that it no longer analyses older households in the same detail as previous projections.

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PDF document icon Estimates of future demand & need in Eng.pdf — PDF document, 372 KB (381654 bytes)


Alan Holmans

Publication Date

1st September 2012